Do You Believe This? Under-Capitalization Is The Single Biggest Reason For Franchisee Failure
I don't believe it.
Used to believe it. Years ago. But I've learned better.
Years ago, I'm sure I might even have written a headline like that one (which appears in a current franchise publication) because all the textbooks and all the "experts" said that the number one reason for business failure is under-capitalization.
Then I started talking to former franchisees and business owners who told me their stories. They had failed. And they had lost tens of thousands, sometimes hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Wow! For being under-capitalized, they all had a lot of money to invest.
But I knew that Fred DeLuca (Subway) started his business with just $1,000. He was under-capitalized. How did he make it?
And I knew that Jim Cavanaugh (Jani-King) started his business with nearly nothing. He was under-capitalized. (Had to sleep in his car for many weeks). How did he make it?
Then I interviewed Paul Orfalea (Kinko's) and he launched his business as a college kid--he had no money! He was under-capitalized. How did he make it?
And Mary Ellen Sheets (Two Men & A Truck) started her business following a divorce with no money. She was under-capitalized. How did she make it?
The more people I interviewed, the more I heard about people who had no money but had built very successful, profitable businesses.
They were all under-capitalized. So why didn't they fail?
They didn't fail for a number of reasons and chief among them was that they had a better plan. Some even had a proven system. If they followed the system, they didn't fail. They may have still stumbled for a period of time, but if they made good on following the system, they made good on succeeding in their business.
I do not believe that under-capitalization is the single biggest reason for franchisee failure. I believe that not following a proven system is the single biggest reason for franchisee failure.
Some of the most successful franchisees (and franchisors) I know had the least money to invest when they launched their businesses. And some who failed had the most money to invest.
That may be another cause for failure: Having too much money to invest!
By John P. Hayes, Ph.D. John P. Hayes, Ph.D., author and speaker, has written the Franchise Pre-Investment Checklist to help you thoroughly research franchise opportunities. The FPIC makes it easy to understand how to search for and evaluate franchises. You can subscribe to John's newsletter list for free at his site profitablefranchiseowner.com.
Comments
The real problem, even in a good franchise offerinng, is....
that capitalization requirements are always - YES, ALWAYS - understated.
Business plans, even before the margin squeezing influences of single source purchasing, rising prices of what are needed to operate the business, and the vicissitudes of competition associated with market overpopulation, need to be reconfigured.
They need to be reconfigured to assume at least two years to achieve break even, plus what is needed to live on for at least 2.5 years. You can't live on no net, and there is no net at the break even point.
You can't live on the cash flow either, as that is required for debt service.--
Richard Solomon, FranchiseRemedies.com, has over 45 years experience with franchise litigation and crisis management. He is a graduate of The Citadel and The University of Michigan Law School
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Solomon-san writes...
They need to be reconfigured to assume at least two years to achieve break even, plus what is needed to live on for at least 2.5 years. You can't live on no net, and there is no net at the break even point.
My comment:
I think it would be beneficial to expand on your definition of break-even in this example. Are you referencing meeting monthly expenses excluding debt obligation, monthly expenses plus debt obligation, or are you talking about the break even where you have recouped your initial investment?
Ever curious,
FuwaFuwaUsagi
"Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large numbers."
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Break evven in this opinion is
balanced income and expenses. That means no propfit. That means you have to have sufficient positive cash flow to handle debt service (all of it). That means you still need to have money to live on.--
Richard Solomon, FranchiseRemedies.com, has over 45 years experience with franchise litigation and crisis management. He is a graduate of The Citadel and The University of Michigan Law School
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Solomon writes: Break
Solomon writes:
Break even in this opinion is balanced income and expenses. That means no profit. That means you have to have sufficient positive cash flow to handle debt service (all of it).
My comments:
Thank you for the clarification Solomon-san. Given your definition I have some comments. They are no reflection on what you have written and only a tool for a convenient point to espouse from.
Having started several small businesses I’ll simply state I never would have undertaken the endeavors unless I had an expectation of reaching breakeven, by your definition, within 180 days. This means have a rational expectation of entering breakeven under a range of probabilities, most likely ranging from 45 days to 180 days. I fully understand this is not the norm of most franchises. However I cannot fathom why I would engage in a franchised enterprise return with an expected return of capital in excess of 3 years, nor the idea of going 12-24 months without seeing an operating profit. The expected pay-off would have to be tremendous to get me to engage in such risk when there are so many prudent opportunities available and I would normally associate those type of businesses with non-franchises. In other words if I am expecting to engage in delayed gratification it should be because I am building the business and retaining the equity by either selling, cashing out, or by going public. There are exceptions, hotel etc, but the vast majority of franchise offerings seem not warrant such an exception.
FuwaFuwaUsagi
"Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large numbers."
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That's exactly why I posted over two months ago in my blog that
I would advise everyone to put any franchise investment on hold until the economics of "today" sort out and a new business plan can be worked out that gives a reasoned estimate of potentially achievable likelihoods.
Considering that every franchisor today provides vastly inadequate estimates of working capital, even if something wasn't a scam, the investment to get to prifitability is now excessive.
We are not in disagreement--
Richard Solomon, FranchiseRemedies.com, has over 45 years experience with franchise litigation and crisis management. He is a graduate of The Citadel and The University of Michigan Law School
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2.5 Years???
2.5 YEARS to positive cashflow? Oh man, why bother to buy into a franchise, if I was willing to put two years in before B/E or +$, heck, I might as well start up an independant.
Okay, so we only have four units, but none of them had 2.5 years of losses upon acquisition. DO YOUR HOMEWORK folks. (Perhaps a guy who specializes in "franchise litigation and crisis management" tends to see only that failures and so has a pessimisitic view; unlike what it sounds like on this forum, there are alos lots of SUCCESSFUL franchises out there. But I guess we don't here from those.)
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Re: 2.5 Years???
The successful franchisees don't have time to waste here at BMM when they can spend it in more profitable ways.
BMM is for failed/troubled franchisees, attorneys, consultants and franchisors.
The Truth Shall Set You Free!
TIF
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Re: 2.5 Years???
The successful franchisees don't have time to waste here at BMM when they can spend it in more profitable ways.
BMM is for failed/troubled franchisees, attorneys, consultants and franchisors.
The Truth Shall Set You Free!
TIF
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Not for zees
Successful franchisees are a busy lot. They don't have time to waste reading. They don't even read their operation manuals from beginning to end. I doubt if most would understand what they read on BMM anyhow, other than the whining posts.
TIF is right. BMM is for snarky franchisors, attorneys, consultants and troubled franchisees trying to figure out what happened.
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BMM A Must Read For Potential Zees
This site should also be a "must read" for potential franchisees. The knowledge on this site is invaluable for those who are looking for the right questions to ask, what kinds of information they should be looking for, and what they should insist on in any agreement.
Even the posts from troubled franchisees have much useful information - as long as you can read the post with a grain of salt. For example, the posts about Quiznos can be long and nasty, however, the nuggets that can be pulled from these posts make them must read.
Since visiting the site I've learned about Quiznos' very high food costs coupled with the $5 giveaways and bogo's, the unprotected territory, the churning, the mandatory hours, the falling food quality, the required purchases, no accountability on ad money, no food or ad co-ops, the very high store closure rate, the departure of the Chef that created Q's best-selling recipes, and the decision to move away from the premium sandwich concept to compete directly with Subway despite Subways lower cost structure. You can make a PROFIT at $6,000 a week owning a Subway, you can't owning a Quiznos.
That's IMPORTANT information.
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You Are So Right
Looks like this forum IS for clueless losers, and those who would continue to take their money as "consultants" or attorneys offering to sue someone for them. So great, a bunch of losers asking each other for advice???
Buying a franchise is not gonna make someone who isn't cut out to be a byusiness owner, into one. In my view, the #1 reason to go with a franchise is to be part of the BRAND, the operating system is only #2. The brand brings in the customers (then you have to execute the system). If the brand isn't recognized and you need to build your own traffic from scratch, then why buy a franchise and pay the fees.
We do not make the millions of $$$ that our neighbors think we do, but we make a pretty decent living as Zees (since 1995). I don't care about all htese ACADEMIC debates as to how to define this or that. Either you are making money or you are not. Our units pay their operating expenses, their debt service, or base salaries and our further draws depending on piofit level at any given time. Sometimes there are loss periods, it's not an annuity. We have no other jobs or businesses, we are franchise operators.
It seems like a lot of people here want a low-cost, sure-fire, automatic way to big money. Aint gonna happen, folks. You gotta grind it out every hour of every day.
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Recognizable brand is reason to be a franchisee
Granville Bean writes, "the #1 reason to go with a franchise is to be part of the BRAND"
From the 4,000 or so existing franchisors, how many do you think the market would recognize as a brand?
40?
400?
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somewhere in there
Oh, someplace between the 40 and the 400 because it sure aint 4,000.
What's the use of getting too academic; does it matter if 7 or 70 angels can stand on the head of the pin, when what that matters is whether your angel is on or off?
There are few business "concepts" so unique (and patentable) that a person would need to buy a "concept". I'd only buy to get a brand affiliation, brand gives a head start and is what I don't have time to build from scratch. Concept? I have plenty of my own ideas, I don't need to buy someone else's "concept".
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TIF - Finally the Truth
>>The successful franchisees don't have time to waste here at BMM when they can spend it in more profitable ways.
BMM is for failed/troubled franchisees, attorneys, consultants and franchisors.<<
As a failed/troubled franchisor, you have found a home!
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Range of BMM audience
Guest writes: Perhaps a guy who specializes in "franchise litigation and crisis management" tends to see only that [sic] failures and so has a pessimisitic view; unlike what it sounds like on this forum, there are alos [sic] lots of SUCCESSFUL franchises out there. But I guess we don't here [sic] from those.
I would agree that there are a lot of successful franchisees out there. As to successful franchises: if you mean that there are a lot of franchises which make money for the franchisor, I would also agree. But from what I have seen, the successful franchisees tend to be clustered disproportionately in a small number of systems .
As to BMM: remember that there is a range of resources on BMM, not simply the Comments. And while the nature of responsive comments is such that they skew towards those who have had an adverse experience, the BMM readership is broader.
As to attorneys: As above, I would reiterate the nature of responsive comments, and add that while bitching does not serve a prophylactic purpose, an analysis of where problems have arisen and how to avoid or prevent occurance of those problems on a going-forward basis is a major benefit of reading sites such as BMM.
Paul SteinbergFranchisee Attorney, New York City, Ph: 212-529-5400
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Lazy Under-Capitalization Excuse
I am thankful that Hays brought this up. He's right on the money
I’ve always thought that citing under-capitalization as the reason for franchise owner failure was a very lazy answer. Franchisors and franchisees should know better. It is an excuse that hides a number of problems and management sins.
I like this person's list of 11 reasons why small businesses fail, particularly their #1 reason:
"Choosing a business that isn't profitable"
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Lazy Under-Capitalization Excuse
I am thankful that Hays brought this up. He's right on the money
I’ve always thought that citing under-capitalization as the reason for franchise owner failure was a very lazy answer. Franchisors and franchisees should know better. It is an excuse that hides a number of problems and management sins.
I like this person's list of 11 reasons why small businesses fail, particularly their #1 reason:
"Choosing a business that isn't profitable"
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Proven System
Paul,
Very well said; but I don't necessarily agree.
If you have a good working system, you will survive. On the otherhand, a system that is a bad business model from the beginning will fail regardless. (Unless one has an endless supply of capital.)
What I would like to know is:
Can anyone explain what it means to be a 'proven system'? Is it based on years of operation, number of units, volume in the units, profitability of the units, or system profitability, etc..etc..? Since this phrase is used at most seminars, it becomes difficult to figure what qualifications are required to call yourself a 'proven system'.
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Proven System
Paul,
Very well said; but I don't necessarily agree.
If you have a good working system, you will survive. On the otherhand, a system that is a bad business model from the beginning will fail regardless. (Unless one has an endless supply of capital.)
What I would like to know is:
Can anyone explain what it means to be a 'proven system'? Is it based on years of operation, number of units, volume in the units, profitability of the units, or system profitability, etc..etc..? Since this phrase is used at most seminars, it becomes difficult to figure what qualifications are required to call yourself a 'proven system'.
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Not "either/or"
Ex Zee writes: If you have a good working system, you will survive. On the otherhand, a system that is a bad business model from the beginning will fail regardless.
I don't think that Mr. Hayes was suggesting an "either/or" causal effect, and neither was I.
The second part of your statement is correct. But that does not mean that the first part is correct.
A simple example I give my clients is the "Make hay when the sun shines" analogy.
When I owned my franchise business, the sytem itself was (for the most part) ok. However, we opened in late September and lacked cash to make it thru till the spring. Fortunately I was able to borrow from the ever-patient Bank of Dad (I would highly recommend their customer service, but when you fall behind on repayments Thanksgiving Dinner is awkward).
John Maynard Keynes became famous for his insights into the Great Depression, when classical economics postulated that in the long run, the free market would right itself without government assistance.
Now I don't mean to poke Les Stewart and TiF into a fight, but Keynes' words are applicable to anyone who believes that in the long run a "proven system" will negate the debt collectors who want their money this instant and not "in the long run."
Said Keynes: "In the long run we're all dead."
Seriously, I did not mean to over-simplify Mr. Hayes' assertion. The underlying fundamentals should be a starting point for any investment decision. But no matter how good things may be in the long run, you will (for various reasons) likely run in the red while you get your sea legs.
Paul SteinbergFranchisee Attorney, New York City, Ph: 212-529-5400
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Proven System???
The Number One (but not the only) concern for a FranchiSEE is profitability of the units. Volume is only important as it relates to profitability. If units that do $2M are profitable but units that do $1.5M are not, better be darn sure about your volume projections.
Similar with years of ops, etc. I would be skeptical of profitability claims if a concept had not been open for very long, how reliable can they be? Same for number of units, how long have they been in business, what if half the units are less than 2 years established?
And "seminars"? Don't get me started about seminars, you might as well sign up for mulit-level marketing, rah rah rah.
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It's the business...
If the businessis is not profitable, all the capitalization in the world will do nothing. Except make the accrued losses higher when you DO fail. One of the main points for franchising rather than starting an independant business from scratch, is to have it be profitable more quickly (like, from Day 1) due to having a recognized brand and good systems.
Too many FranchisORS are flash in the pan, hey we have 3 units, let's sell 300 franchises, trying to run before they can walk. I had a guy who only had ONE restaurant, open less than a year, tell me how he was going to start franchising. In another 6 months his one unit was closed.
All these crybabies, if you had a profitable biz, you could pay Home Depot out of your cashflow not your capital. If you don't have enough $ to make it to your busy summer season, then don't open a new unit in the winter. Or don't open a business (franchise or independant) that is seasonal.
Yeah yeah you need enough caiptal to open, but if the underlying business was any good, you don't need deeper pockets.
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Let's not go off the deep end
I don't think anyone would hold that a zee should buy a business which is not going to be profitable. Although zors can make millions from a money-losing franchise, zees will go bankrupt in such a situation.
What Mr. Hayes was addressing is the question of whether undercapitalization or failure to follow the franchisor system is the prime cause of franchisee failure.
Capitalization is not the be-all-end-all, but to say that you only need enough money to get the doors open and then "if the underlying business was any good" you would be profitable "from Day 1" is the opposite extreme, and leaves no margin for error.
Few of us are perfect, need no learning curve, and are posessed of a crystal ball.
I hope to win the Mega Millions drawing, but I'm going to save a few pennies for the rent coming due. Just in case.
Paul SteinbergFranchisee Attorney, New York City, Ph: 212-529-5400
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Paul writes: What Mr.
Paul writes:
What Mr. Hayes was addressing is the question of whether undercapitalization or failure to follow the franchisor system is the prime cause of franchisee failure.
My reply:
I’ll reiterate MNTBMFHO:
I believe one of the prime causes of franchisee failure is build-out that wastes vital financial resources on branding that does not drive revenue or reduce costs. You can readily see this illustrated in the now generations of families that have operated third, fourth, and fifth tier hotels and motels. The majors have had a great deal of trouble attracting successful franchisees and operators of the third, fourth, and fifth tier establishments because they DEMAND that capital investments be directly tied to revenue. As a sweeping generalization, this is what successful businessmen do, insist that all capital expenditures are expected to provide a return on investment. If you examine many franchise offerings you will find that many waste capital on the trappings of the brand image instead of productively deploying capital resources in technologies that lever human effort and reduce cost.
FuwaFuwaUsagi
"Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large numbers."
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Proven is past tense
In today's competitive and fast-changing market, following perfectly a proven system today may be the contributing recipe for disaster tommorow. If there is doubt of that, all one has to do is look at the number of old proven chains in the news today, where they had to liquidate the company-owned stores and corporation because their operation standards are no longer so proven with their customers. Clearly, there are other business factors at play in running a franchise than being able to perfectly follow the standards of a proven system.
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falsehoods of failure
I can tell you that I was perfectly capitalized, sales were good, debt ratio was in-line with food and labors cost and POW, the ZOR sold the ZEE's out and starting selling the product in every supermarket, drugstore and chain they could find a distributor. Sales Went down drastically and undercapitalization sets in b/c the capital is now needs to cover the debt b/c there is no money coming in and that is how it goes. The ZOR is somehow usually behind it.
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Re: falsehoods of failure
This comment thread has been moved here.
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Proven System
Paul, you were lucky
Not all of us are blessed with a generous ‘Bank of Dad’ or as I call it ‘The Family Bank’.
I do agree that you should have enough cash flow to get you through the first few years and in some cases it may take even more than two or three. However, once you establish a cash flow if you still need funds to stay afloat your problems may no longer be tied to under-capitalization.
I don’t agree with Mr. Hayes in regards to his belief of the biggest reason for failure is not following a proven system. I believe until we identify what a ‘proven system’ is, there are simply too many other factors that can affect franchisee failure.
Of course my belief stems from being part of a system that claimed to be proven.
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Proven System
Paul, you were lucky
Not all of us are blessed with a generous ‘Bank of Dad’ or as I call it ‘The Family Bank’.
I do agree that you should have enough cash flow to get you through the first few years and in some cases it may take even more than two or three. However, once you establish a cash flow if you still need funds to stay afloat your problems may no longer be tied to under-capitalization.
I don’t agree with Mr. Hayes in regards to his belief of the biggest reason for failure is not following a proven system. I believe until we identify what a ‘proven system’ is, there are simply too many other factors that can affect franchisee failure.
Of course my belief stems from being part of a system that claimed to be proven.
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The TWO big falsehoods regarding failure
John,
I agree. I have long held that the two major reasons given for small business failure, knowledge and undercapitalization, are not the root of failure at all. The real seed lies in the entrepreneur's potential for good 'fit' with the business. I think your examples demonstrate that position.
Doing well in anything, business, career choices, etc. pretty much requires a good match between aptitudes, talents and the task at hand.
Now, I will say that independents, as in the examples you gave, often have an advantage over franchisees in that they can 'shoe string' an effort whereas it's all or nothing with a franchise. The most important thing is the 'desire' and the love of the venture that causes people to persevere.
Those who state that many (probably most) franchisors inadequately state start-up costs are, in my opinion, right. But that also goes hand in hand with my belief that most franchises are bad deals.
Nick Bibby is an international franchise consultant and a program developer dedicated to excellence in entrepreneurship.
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The TWO big falsehoods regarding failure
John,
I agree. I have long held that the two major reasons given for small business failure, knowledge and undercapitalization, are not the root of failure at all. The real seed lies in the entrepreneur's potential for good 'fit' with the business. I think your examples demonstrate that position.
Doing well in anything, business, career choices, etc. pretty much requires a good match between aptitudes, talents and the task at hand.
Now, I will say that independents, as in the examples you gave, often have an advantage over franchisees in that they can 'shoe string' an effort whereas it's all or nothing with a franchise. The most important thing is the 'desire' and the love of the venture that causes people to persevere.
Those who state that many (probably most) franchisors inadequately state start-up costs are, in my opinion, right. But that also goes hand in hand with my belief that most franchises are bad deals.
Nick Bibby is an international franchise consultant and a program developer dedicated to excellence in entrepreneurship.
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Following a Proven System
John writes: "I believe that not following a proven system is the single biggest reason for franchisee failure."
Well, interesting because that very proposition is at the heart of a lawsuit in Colorado: Colorado Coffee Bean, et al. v. Peaberry Coffee, et al. filed in 2006 in the district court of Denver.
Frankly, I don't believe that there is any legal duty for a franchisor to market a proven system. Any old piece of poo will do - as long as you have "disclosed" the smelly stuff.
As Janet Sparks writes in the Franchise Times,
"Michael Seid states in his documents that he knows of "no legal or industry requirement that a franchise opportunity must be tested in any particular manner, or that a franchisor cannot sell a franchise opportunity until it has been proven by prior franchisees." He writes that the Federal Trade Commission and state regulators have not established a franchisor "Duty of Competence." Instead, he states, they require franchisors to disclose accurately their experience and history, whatever that may be."
Michael Webster PhD LLBFranchise News
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another reason they did not failed
Offloading all business risks to the franchisee in exchange for a risk free royalty.
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Hayes partially correct on capitalization
While I agree with Mr. Hayes that undercapitalization is not the only reason for failure, it is a huge reason and indeed in many cases it is the prime reason--no matter how good your mousetrap is, you need to pay the rent this month and not when Home Depot places an order for a million mousetraps.
I would also caution that Mr. Hayes conflates zees and zors in addition to glossing over negative history.The essence of franchising is that it is a means of procuring capital (and labor). As such, conflating zee and zor undercapitalization can lead to an erroneous conclusion.
When Gerry and I wrote our Penn State article, we discussed how undercapitalized franchisors can use franchising as a means of profiting from a bad business model which is sold to the franchisees as a "proven system."
One of the systems which we discussed in 2004 was Cosi, which Bob Frankman discussed here in 2006 , and which is the subject of an August 2008 article in Chain Leader which notes that Cosi "hasn't had a profitable year since it went public in 2002" and quotes analyst Nicole Regan of Piper Jaffray as approving the decision to franchise with the wonderful quote: "When you don't have any cash, what are you going to do?"
Another "proven system" is Coldstone Creamery, which Jim Coen discusses today on BMM, and Michael Webster has cautioned that Coldstone's lack of capitalization should give a prospective franchisee pause. Has Mr. Hayes looked at Coldstone's financials??? Take a look at them and tell me how a company can be wonderfully successful and have no capital. (Hint: one thing is to sell gift cards and then keep $2,800,000 so that you can show a profit of $250,000 for the year)
As to Subway, we should remember that a thousand dollars back in 1965 went a lot further than in 2008. Moreover, Mr. Hayes assumes that Peter Buck just gave Fred $1000 and then never put in any more money. While that may make for a great legend, I doubt it is the truth. And if you look at the phenomenal growth of Subway, it came from franchising--that is, using other people's capital to compensate for your own undercapitalization. Nothing wrong with that, as Nicole Regan points out. But it does not suggest that a lack of capital is something to be taken lightly; indeed the history of Subway shows quite the opposite.
I would also note that while Subway has made great strides in franchisee relations, a decade ago the top Congressional aide on the SBFA described Subway as the worst problem in franchising.
As to Jani-King, again this is an entire sector which has been built on other people's money and a lot of scandal and litigation. As to Jani-King specifically, it was not simply built by Horatio Alger and Mother Teresa working their fingers to the bone: the company was built on the capital of franchisees who were lied to .
Given the huge number of franchise systems out there which are built by people who have one unit (or sometimes no units) and little experience, to say that buying a franchise is ipso facto purchasing a "proven system" is worse than laughable, it is a false implication which can cost you your savings, your house, your marriage.
Franchising can be a road to success. But it is not a sure bet, and while I do agree with Mr. Hayes that many franchisee failures are the result of trying to reinvent the wheel, the canard that most failures result from failure to follow the "proven system" have not been proven by empirical research.
When a franchisor itself can not run in the black, and when franchisors themselves have a high rate of failure (as seen in the Purvin, Shane, and Bates studies) it is not helpful to franchisees to imply that franchising per se reduces risk, either by use of a "proven system" or otherwise.
Paul SteinbergFranchisee Attorney, New York City, Ph: 212-529-5400